Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.034698 0.037791 0.040899 0.044250 0.047756 0.051309 0.055177
2025-12-28 0.029032 0.033553 0.038245 0.043455 0.049055 0.054873 0.061354
2026-01-04 0.025325 0.030901 0.036857 0.043638 0.051094 0.058994 0.067952
2026-01-11 0.022683 0.029092 0.036116 0.044289 0.053445 0.063306 0.074647
2026-01-18 0.020396 0.027434 0.035339 0.044721 0.055408 0.067079 0.080663
2026-01-25 0.017315 0.024594 0.032994 0.043178 0.054986 0.068065 0.083475
2026-02-01 0.015244 0.022775 0.031681 0.042685 0.055637 0.070156 0.087435
2026-02-08 0.013614 0.021357 0.030733 0.042517 0.056577 0.072506 0.091629
2026-02-15 0.012841 0.020951 0.030953 0.043695 0.059051 0.076588 0.097775
2026-02-22 0.012041 0.020439 0.030992 0.044608 0.061180 0.080246 0.103420
2026-03-01 0.011130 0.019711 0.030703 0.045075 0.062742 0.083219 0.108253
2026-03-08 0.010216 0.018909 0.030267 0.045317 0.063996 0.085804 0.112618
2026-03-15 0.009671 0.018609 0.030489 0.046409 0.066331 0.089728 0.118630
2026-03-22 0.008442 0.017243 0.029246 0.045600 0.066305 0.090830 0.121324
2026-03-29 0.007686 0.016513 0.028811 0.045793 0.067493 0.093367 0.125703
2026-04-05 0.007160 0.016088 0.028763 0.046464 0.069260 0.096590 0.130891
2026-04-12 0.006605 0.015574 0.028560 0.046910 0.070728 0.099444 0.135635
2026-04-19 0.005490 0.014055 0.026869 0.045323 0.069581 0.099081 0.136505
2026-04-26 0.004792 0.013157 0.026016 0.044817 0.069774 0.100332 0.139291
2026-05-03 0.004246 0.012468 0.025430 0.044644 0.070375 0.102067 0.142648
2026-05-10 0.004085 0.012461 0.025853 0.045855 0.072768 0.106020 0.148699
2026-05-17 0.003871 0.012335 0.026085 0.046794 0.074803 0.109530 0.154215
2026-05-24 0.003568 0.012012 0.025998 0.047275 0.076231 0.112282 0.158808